UPDATED: 09-09-26 18:49 PDT

stick Colgate
  
Colgate               
W-L: ( 1- 8) PR = 85.9803

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Tarleton State WAC (35-22, 91.5) 5-14 214 H South Dakota State SM ( 8-14, 92.0) 3-11 214 A Tarleton State WAC (35-22, 91.5) 9-20 215 H Clemson ACC (33-24, 93.9) 1- 9 220 A Indiana B10 (41-17, 96.2) 0- 8 221 A Boston College ACC (14-38, 90.4) 7- 4 222 A South Florida AC (42-18, 93.4) 0- 6 415 A Syracuse ACC (19-27, 88.9) 0- 1 415 A Syracuse ACC (19-27, 88.9) 0- 6

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   213 A Tarleton State          5-14      -9    -6    -     -2.77
   214 H South Dakota State      3-11      -8    -5    -     -2.68
   214 A Tarleton State          9-20     -11    -6    --    -4.77
   215 H Clemson                 1- 9      -8    -7          -0.81
   220 A Indiana                 0- 8      -8   -11    +      3.00
   221 A Boston College          7- 4       3    -5    +++    8.17
   222 A South Florida           0- 6      -6    -8    +      2.20
   415 A Syracuse                0- 6      -6    -4    -     -2.35

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   214 A Tarleton State          9-20     -11    -6    --    -4.77
   213 A Tarleton State          5-14      -9    -6    -     -2.77
   214 H South Dakota State      3-11      -8    -5    -     -2.68
   415 A Syracuse                0- 6      -6    -4    -     -2.35

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   221 A Boston College          7- 4       3    -5    +++    8.17
   220 A Indiana                 0- 8      -8   -11    +      3.00
   222 A South Florida           0- 6      -6    -8    +      2.20

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 A Tarleton State  (35-22, 91.5)     5-14       -8.43      10.94       0.74         2.80           -10.76
   3 H South Dakota S  ( 8-14, 92.0)     3-11       -7.86      11.51      -0.74         2.80           -12.04
   3 A Tarleton State  (35-22, 91.5)     9-20       -8.43      10.94       0.74         2.80           -10.76
   3 H Clemson         (33-24, 93.9)     1- 9       -5.99      13.38      -0.74         2.80            -9.42
   3 A Indiana         (41-17, 96.2)     0- 8       -3.67      15.70       0.74         2.80            -4.09
   3 A Boston College  (14-38, 90.4)     7- 4       -9.49       9.88       0.74         2.80            59.48
   3 A South Florida   (42-18, 93.4)     0- 6       -6.46      12.91       0.74         2.80            -8.00
   3 A Syracuse        (19-27, 88.9)     0- 1      -11.02       8.35       0.74         2.80           -14.38
   3 A Syracuse        (19-27, 88.9)     0- 6      -11.02       8.35       0.74         2.80           -14.38
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -24.37

winning pts = 59.4814 losing points = -83.8479

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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